AI Search Trends – 2026

AI search is not “Google with a chatbot UI.” It’s a different discovery system with different economics.

A simple signal of the shift: organic CTR declined 15.5% on queries that trigger AI Overviews, and other tracking reports drops as high as 34.5% when AI Overviews appear. In the same environment, AI Overview queries show ~83% zero-click behavior.

When fewer people click, “rank → traffic” stops being the only path to visibility. Being cited and included inside synthesized answers becomes a primary visibility mechanism.

What Changed in 2024–2026: What “Search” Returns Now

Search increasingly returns synthesized answers: the system pulls from multiple sources, composes a response, and cites what it used.

The research traces a clear interface shift from SGE experiments to wider AI Overviews rollout, then into a more conversational “AI Mode” flow, and into 2026, where Gemini-powered experiences become the default model layer for Overviews.

What does that change operationally:

  • The “unit” that wins is often a citable passage or a citable table, not just a page.
  • A single user journey becomes multi-step, with follow-ups handled inside the interface.
  • Visibility can happen without a site visit, which makes citations and mentions measurable proxies for influence.

Why did clicks drop, and what does “visibility” mean now?

Clicks drop when synthesized answers reduce uncertainty before a user needs to leave the interface.

Two tracked effects matter most:

  • On AI Overview-triggered queries, studies report 15.5%–34.5% CTR decline.
  • AI Overview queries show ~83% zero-click behavior, compared with ~60% for traditional queries.

That doesn’t mean traffic is irrelevant. It means traffic is no longer a complete measure of discovery.

In AI-mediated discovery, “visibility” increasingly includes:

  • Being cited as a source
  • Being included in comparisons
  • Being recommended as a category option
  • Being mentioned as an entity, even when your domain isn’t linked

How do AI systems decide what to cite?

AI citations show consistent selection bias, especially in AI Overviews.

What role do rankings still play?

One of the strongest signals: 76% of AI Overview citations come from pages ranking in Google’s top 10.

But that doesn’t translate to “only position #1 matters,” because:

  • 24% of citations come from outside the top 10 (positions 11+).
  • The median ranking of the primary cited URL is position 2, while secondary citations cluster around positions 4-5.

Position-level citation probability:

Ranking positionCitation probabilityAvg citations/query
1-342%2.3
4-623%1.7
7-1011%1.2
11+24%0.8

The practical takeaway: rankings are a strong feeder signal, but selection still depends on whether your content is reusable as an answer component.

Why do brands show up as entities, not websites?

In AI search, brands are evaluated as entities that appear in explanatory contexts, not just as URLs competing for clicks.

That shifts the job from “optimize pages” to “build consistent, cross-source clarity” about:

  • What you are
  • What category do you belong to
  • What you’re credible for
  • When you’re a fit vs not a fit

Why do third-party mentions matter so much?

One of the most operationally useful findings:

  • Brand mention frequency across third-party sources shows a 0.664 correlation with AI Overview appearances.
  • Brands can be 6.5× more likely to be cited via third-party sources than their own domains.
  • External citations are associated with 40% more cross-platform stability.

This is why two brands with similar on-site quality can perform differently: one brand exists as a repeated entity across the ecosystem; the other mostly exists inside its own site.

What content gets picked up: what makes a “citation block” usable?

AI systems prefer content that can be reused with minimal reinterpretation.

What is semantic completeness, and why does it win?

  • Content scoring above 8.5/10 on semantic completeness is 4.2× more likely to appear in AI Overviews.
  • Optimal cited answer blocks are often 134-167 words and self-contained.

Operationally, this means writing modular answer units that:

  • Fully answer one sub-question
  • Define key terms in place
  • Include a comparison baseline
  • Avoid relying on surrounding paragraphs for clarity

Why does multimodal content lift selection likelihood?

The tracked uplift is large enough to treat as a structural factor:

  • Multimodal content (text + images + video + structured data) is associated with 156-317% higher selection rates in AI Overviews.

Start with low-friction multimodal elements that directly support extractability:

  • Comparison tables
  • Process diagrams
  • Short “how it works” visuals
  • Schema-backed sections where appropriate

Why do community sources show up so often?

Community content carries experience signals (first-hand usage, debugging, trade-offs) that AI systems often treat as high explanatory value.

If your category has decision-heavy prompts (“what should I choose?” “what breaks?” “what are the real trade-offs?”), Community presence can become a visibility lever because it creates third-party explanations that AI systems reuse.

How do platforms differ and why does that change your strategy?

There isn’t one “AI search algorithm.” Engines vary in retrieval bias and citation preferences.

So the target isn’t “rank everywhere.” It’s:

  • Build a base layer of reusable facts and comparisons
  • Package those facts in ways each platform tends to cite (recency, authority sources, community surfaces, multimodal blocks)

What should you measure if rankings and traffic don’t tell the full story?

If the interface answers without clicks, reporting only rankings and sessions will undercount discovery. 2026 explicitly calls out an inflection point where brands began tracking “AI impressions” and “citation frequency” rather than CTR as primary success metrics.

MetricWhat it tells youWhy it matters now
Citation frequencyHow often your pages are used as sourcesDirect proxy for “answer inclusion”
Brand mention rateWhether your entity appears even when your domain isn’t citedMeasures entity-level visibility
Query cluster coverageWhich prompt patterns do you win/loseBetter than keyword-only thinking
Third-party footprintHow often others describe you accuratelyCorrelates with stability
Zero-click exposureWhere you influence without visitsExplains pipeline movement without traffic

What should you do next?

These are the highest-leverage moves:

  1. Write in self-contained answer blocks (134-167 words)
  • One sub-question per block
  • Definition in-place
  • Comparison baseline
  • Clear “so what” sentence
  1. Build a third-party mention strategy as a first-class workstream
  • Brand mention frequency correlates with AI inclusion
  • Third-party sources can be materially more effective than self-published domains
  1. Use tables + simple multimodal assets as answer payload
  • Multimodal selection uplift is 156-317% in tracked AI Overview studies
  1. Expect platform variance and measure it explicitly
  • Engine preferences differ (authority sources vs recency vs community)
  • Strategy needs a shared truth layer + platform-aware packaging

If AI discovery is increasingly “answer inclusion” instead of “blue-link clicks,” the core operational questions become:

  • Where does your brand appear across AI answers today (and where does it not)?
  • Which sources are being cited when you’re excluded (and why)?
  • What changes increase citations, mentions, and recommendation frequency over time?

If you want to see how your brand is being cited (or missed) across systems like ChatGPT, Google AI Overviews, and Perplexity, book a call with ReSO.

Swati Paliwal

Swati, Founder of ReSO, has spent nearly two decades building a career that bridges startups, agencies, and industry leaders like Flipkart, TVF, MX Player, and Disney+ Hotstar. A marketer at heart and a builder by instinct, she thrives on curiosity, experimentation, and turning bold ideas into measurable impact. Beyond work, she regularly teaches at MDI, IIMs, and other B-schools, sharing practical GTM insights with future leaders.